University launches tool to monitor Covid-19 evolution in Valencia

NEW APP: Will chart evolution of Covid-19 in Valencia. CREDIT: UMH Universidad Miguel Hernández Facebook

Researchers at Elche university have developed what they are hailing as the ‘first tool’ for monitoring the evolution of coronavirus in the Valencian Community.

José Luis Sainz-Pardo, José Valero and Juan Francisco Monge from the University Research Institute ‘Operational Research Centre’ (CIO) of the Miguel Hernández University (UMH) of Elche say the tool can be consulted through the web address, accessible through computers, mobile phones and tablets.

The UMH researchers hope the tool will be beneficial to both researchers and health officials in order to guage the status and evolution of the pandemic in specific municipalities.
In addition, the population of the Valencian Community will be able to see for themselves the possible evolution in their municipality for the 15 days ahead.
The CIO researchers have used this monitoring tool to prepare their second Report on the Evolution of COVID-19 in the Valencian Community: September 2020.

The conclusions of the report are positive for the rest of the month, given that if the pandemic behaves as it has evolved in recent weeks, the number of active cases will decrease by 14.73 per cent in the region.
However, if the evolution worsens as, for example, people return to work and schools, the researchers predict active infections could reach up to 10,997 – an increase of 44.56 per cent.
Municipalities in the Valencian Community where the greatest growth of the pandemic is expected are the following:
Pinoso +660.87 per cent
Petrer +544.83 per cent
Elda +529.6
Carlet +227.78
Villena +213.64
Covid-19 figures continued to rise in Valencia last week, with outbreaks the highest since June.
In an update last Thursday, the Valencia Community registered 548 new coronavirus infections confirmed by PCR test and nine deaths.
There had been 45 new outbreaks – the highest in three months.
In an announcement today, Generalitat President, Ximo Puig, revealed a bonus for personnel in State-run health and care homes as ‘compensation for all their efforts’ fighting the pandemic during State of Alarm.
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Tara Rippin

Tara Rippin is a reporter for Spain’s largest English-speaking newspaper, Euro Weekly News, and is responsible for the Costa Blanca region.
She has been in journalism for more than 20 years, having worked for local newspapers in the Midlands, UK, before relocating to Spain in 1990.
Since arriving, the mother-of-one has made her home on the Costa Blanca, while spending 18 months at the EWN head office in Fuengirola on the Costa del Sol.
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