“Unprecedentedly brazen” – Three Russian MiGs invade Estonian (NATO) airspace

NATO forces intercepted three Russian MiG-31 fighter jets that violated Estonian airspace over the Gulf of Finland for 12 minutes on Friday, September 19, in what Estonia’s Foreign Minister Margus Tsahkna called an “unprecedentedly brazen” incursion.

The jets, capable of carrying Russia’s Kinzhal hypersonic missiles, reportedly flew toward Tallinn, further escalating tensions between Russia and the NATO alliance.

Estonia’s foreign ministry has summoned Russia’s chargé d’affaires to lodge a formal protest, making this the fifth Russian violation of Estonian airspace in 2025. Tsahkna condemned Russia’s “ever-increasing testing of the country’s border controls and aggressiveness,” urging rapid political and economic pressure. Italian F-35s, deployed under NATO’s Baltic Air Policing Mission at Ämari, were scrambled to repel the jets, which had their transponders off, according to Estonian media.

Brazen Russian MiGs over Estonia dubbed “extremely dangerous provocation”

NATO spokesperson Allison Hart called the incident “yet another example of reckless Russian behaviour,” reaffirming the rapid response of the alliance. Kaja Kallas, the EU’s high representative for foreign affairs and an Estonian national, labelled it “an extremely dangerous provocation” on X, stressing that Russian President Vladimir Putin is testing Western resolve. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said something similar and pledged a stronger NATO eastern flank.

The incursion follows a series of Russian violations of NATO airspace. Recently, Poland’s military disabled four of at least 20 Russian drones that breached its airspace, some penetrating 260 kilometres inland. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk warned that Poland is closer to military conflict than at any time since World War II. Romania also reported a Russian drone briefly entering its airspace before later disappearing from radar.

Russia & Belarus claim drones an accident, but no comment on MiGs over Estonia

Russia has not commented on the Estonian incident, though it claimed the Polish drone incursions were unintentional, claiming navigation jamming. Belarus, a Russian ally, repeated this explanation. Meanwhile, Russia and Belarus recently conducted joint Zapad military exercises, simulating a defence against a hypothetical NATO invasion, even further increasing tensions.

An RAF source described that 12-minute incursion as “hardly an accident,” saying that such a duration suggests intent. Britain’s ambassador to the OSCE, Neil Holland, called Russia’s actions “deeply concerning and reckless.” As NATO strengthens its defences, the alliance faces growing intimidation in countering Russia’s provocative manoeuvres along its borders.