By Fergal MacErlean • 15 March 2022 • 12:26
Credit: Ukrainian Ministry of Defence
Oleksiy Arestovich said: “I think that no later than in May, early May, we should have a peace agreement, maybe much earlier, we will see, I am talking about the latest possible dates”.
Speaking in a video published by Ukrainian media, Arestovich said the exact timing would depend on how much resources the Kremlin was willing to commit to the campaign, Reuters reported.
“We are at a fork in the road now: there will either be a peace deal struck very quickly, within a week or two, with troop withdrawal and everything, or there will be an attempt to scrape together some, say, Syrians for a round two and, when we grind them too, an agreement by mid-April or late April,” Arestovich said.
However his upbeat assessment cautioned of a “completely crazy” scenario where Russia could send fresh conscripts into the conflict zone after a month of training.
The prospect of low-level tactical clashes continuing for up to a year after any peace agreement is hammered out remains a possibility Arestovich added.
Talks between Kyiv and Moscow – in which Arestovich is not personally involved – have to date floundered with only several humanitarian corridors being agreed on out of besieged Ukrainian cities.
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Originally from Dublin, Fergal is based on the eastern Costa del Sol and is a web reporter for The Euro Weekly News covering international and Spanish national news.
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