Quo Vadis UKIP and Nigel Farage

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Nigel Farage MEP.

POLLS at present are running neck and neck

THERE is supposedly an old Chinese proverb which says ‘be careful what you wish for. You just might get it’ and this seems to apply to Nigel Farage and UKIP.

Really, what is going to happen to UKIP after the June referendum? If the result sees a withdrawal from the European Union, then they can hang around for a while giving sound bites about what the exit agreements should consist of.

But, if the decision is to remain within the Union, then their day will have come and gone and their ideas will have been rejected, so unless they want to act like a pack of dogs snapping at the ankles of the victorious government then once again they become a spent force.

Those in the conservative party who campaign for an exit are playing roulette with their political futures and if the ball falls on the right colour, their futures are assured and all they will have to do is agree which of them will take the roll of prime minister and who will take the other top jobs in cabinet.

If the ball falls into the losing slot, then they won’t even have a viable UKIP to join and will have to set up their own party, which is likely to have few members as those on the back benches who secretly supported them, are likely to see a sinking ship and jump it.

A lot is going to happen between now and June and with limited budgets, both the for and against exit parties are going to have to be very careful with their funds and very clever with their propaganda if they hope to influence the media and the electorate.

At the moment, the polls seem to be running neck and neck and for once the overseas vote may have a role to play. There are plenty of people living outside of the UK, both in and out of the EU who will have their own decisions to make, provided that they can be bothered or are allowed to vote.

Will they be selfish and think only of their own futures or selfless and think of their children and grandchildren, as any decision is likely to last for a number of generations but one thing is certain, if the vote goes for an exit, it will take years for the actual exit to be completed and there will be a lot of changes for expats all through the Union as well as Europeans working and living in the UK.  

It is very easy to register to vote and costs nothing, so don’t give up the chance to help make the decision.

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    • Dario R Melkuhn

      29 April 2016 • 10:28

      I will bet that UKIP are here to stay and will make, or at least try to make a positive impact whichever way the electorate vote. I have a vote as I have not been away for more than 15 years and I will be voting to leave, I may not have confidence in the mainstream parties but I do have confidence in Britain. Even though we may not be 100% certain of the result of leaving the EU, but we can make pretty certain forecasts and in my analysis the future out does look bright and exciting. Staying in does present certainties. Like ever closer union in all aspects leading to a Federal European State with one central bank, one army, one police force, parliament no more than a regional government akin to current town councils, the very great possibility that part of the UK will end up in France, all taxes, laws etc made by a foreign power, the loss of our inherent rights of Habeas Corpus, the right to be innocent until proven guilty, the right of trial by jury, the loss of the right to do what you like unless there is a law prohibiting it will be changed to you can only do something if there is a specific law allowing it. Not being able to vote out or in the very people who make the laws and set your taxes. Having at some point to join the Euro. Less, jobs, lower wages, less rights for workers. Loss of democracy…Oh and much more, these are the certainties if we remain shackled to the political EU. That jump into the “unknown” now looks very positive.

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