Quo Vadis UKIP and Nigel Farage

POLLS at present are running neck and neck

THERE is supposedly an old Chinese proverb which says ‘be careful what you wish for. You just might get it’ and this seems to apply to Nigel Farage and UKIP.

Really, what is going to happen to UKIP after the June referendum? If the result sees a withdrawal from the European Union, then they can hang around for a while giving sound bites about what the exit agreements should consist of.

But, if the decision is to remain within the Union, then their day will have come and gone and their ideas will have been rejected, so unless they want to act like a pack of dogs snapping at the ankles of the victorious government then once again they become a spent force.

Those in the conservative party who campaign for an exit are playing roulette with their political futures and if the ball falls on the right colour, their futures are assured and all they will have to do is agree which of them will take the roll of prime minister and who will take the other top jobs in cabinet.

If the ball falls into the losing slot, then they won’t even have a viable UKIP to join and will have to set up their own party, which is likely to have few members as those on the back benches who secretly supported them, are likely to see a sinking ship and jump it.

A lot is going to happen between now and June and with limited budgets, both the for and against exit parties are going to have to be very careful with their funds and very clever with their propaganda if they hope to influence the media and the electorate.

At the moment, the polls seem to be running neck and neck and for once the overseas vote may have a role to play. There are plenty of people living outside of the UK, both in and out of the EU who will have their own decisions to make, provided that they can be bothered or are allowed to vote.

Will they be selfish and think only of their own futures or selfless and think of their children and grandchildren, as any decision is likely to last for a number of generations but one thing is certain, if the vote goes for an exit, it will take years for the actual exit to be completed and there will be a lot of changes for expats all through the Union as well as Europeans working and living in the UK.  

It is very easy to register to vote and costs nothing, so don’t give up the chance to help make the decision.